Step 02: performances of HST models
Starting from some “basic” models (based on few variables) we can apply “aggregate” models (given by some combinations of the basic ones) for our investments.
I have been applying them for the last 6 years and I am really satisfied of the results, since my capital has been growing a lot during this impressive bull market started in 2020.
Every investor has a specific risk attitude; I have elaborated a set of models suitable for different risk approaches.
Some use leverage, offering the best performances in terms of CAGR
Some doesn't use leveraged, improving returns, but minimizing drawdowns
....and here you see the performances of HST models:
...amazing returns...
(models using with 3x levered ETFs)
(models with no leverage)
...manageable drawdowns...
Choose your own strategy
Which strategy should I use?
Knowing your own risk attitude, you can choose one of the the 6 options available.
Here are results of backtests on period 2011-2025
S&P500 is the benchmark, giving CAGR = 11.7% and max drawdown = 33.9%
n°4 HST non-levered models showed an outperform on S&P (CAGR 17.4 - 21.7%) with much more manageable max drawdowns (12.7 - 20.1%)
n°4 HST 3X-levered models magnify returns (CAGR 42.9 - 64.2%) at the price of higher drawdowns (22.3 - 50.7%)
Pick the model tailored on your risk profile
and start a profitable path of learning investing.
