Step 02: performances of HST models

Starting from some “basic” models (based on few variables) we can apply “aggregate” models (given by some combinations of the basic ones) for our investments.

I have been applying them for the last 6 years and I am really satisfied of the results, since my capital has been growing a lot during this impressive bull market started in 2020.

Every investor has a specific risk attitude; I have elaborated a set of models suitable for different risk approaches.

  • Some use leverage, offering the best performances in terms of CAGR

  • Some doesn't use leveraged, improving returns, but minimizing drawdowns

                                      ....and here you see the performances of HST models:

...amazing returns...

(models using with 3x levered ETFs)

(models with no leverage)

...manageable drawdowns...

Choose your own strategy

Which strategy should I use?

Knowing your own risk attitude, you can choose one of the the 6 options available.
Here are results of backtests on period 2011-2025

  • S&P500 is the benchmark, giving CAGR = 11.7% and max drawdown = 33.9%

  • n°3 HST non-levered models showed an outperform on S&P (CAGR 16.9 - 22.0%) with much more manageable max drawdowns (16.7 - 20.1%)

  • n°3 HST 3X-levered models magnify returns (CAGR 42.3 - 66.3%) at the price of higher drawdowns (22.3 - 50.7%)

                                                 Pick the model tailored on your risk profile
                                             and start a profitable path of learning investing.